Results for - Historian who has accurately called every election since 1984 says Biden will beat Trump in 2020 race

2,361 voters participated in this survey

1. American University historian Allan Lichtman says that Democratic presumptive nominee Joe Biden is a shoo-in to win the 2020 presidential race. His predictions are something worth paying attention to because he has forecast accurately every election since 1984, including President Donald Trump's stunning victory in 2016 over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton. In an op-ed video with the New York Times published on Wednesday, Lichtman's model, as per usual, outlines his 13 keys to the White House that now lead him to believe that Biden is on track to secure a victory at the Nov. 3 election. This time around, Lichtman's predictions should come as no surprise given national polls indicate that Biden command's a substantial lead over the incumbent president. Do you think he is accurately predicting the election results?

Yes
28%
648 votes
No
26%
600 votes
Undecided
29%
668 votes
Not Applicable
17%
384 votes

2. Lichtman says Biden leads Trump on seven of the 13 true-or-false criteria he looks at to assess the ultimate winner of the race to the White House, which includes factors such as the economy, foreign policy, scandals, social unrest and even the charisma of the candidate and the health of the economy. To be sure, the model is not scientific but Lichtman's results deserve attention if only for the novelty of seeing how his forecast plays out. Do you follow polls and expert predictions?

Follow polls
10%
229 votes
Follow expert predictions
4%
97 votes
Follow both
18%
419 votes
Neither
45%
1,024 votes
N/A
23%
531 votes

3. Will you be voting in the November elections?

Yes
50%
1,148 votes
No
11%
248 votes
Undecided
6%
149 votes
Not Applicable
33%
755 votes
08/07/2020 Politics 2361 144 Anonymous

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