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Results: Historian who has accurately called every election since 1984 says Biden will beat Trump in 2020 race

Published on 08/06/2020
Anonymous
2361
Politics
1.
1.
American University historian Allan Lichtman says that Democratic presumptive nominee Joe Biden is a shoo-in to win the 2020 presidential race. His predictions are something worth paying attention to because he has forecast accurately every election since 1984, including President Donald Trump's stunning victory in 2016 over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton. In an op-ed video with the New York Times published on Wednesday, Lichtman's model, as per usual, outlines his 13 keys to the White House that now lead him to believe that Biden is on track to secure a victory at the Nov. 3 election. This time around, Lichtman's predictions should come as no surprise given national polls indicate that Biden command's a substantial lead over the incumbent president. Do you think he is accurately predicting the election results?
Yes
28%
672 votes
No
26%
611 votes
Undecided
29%
684 votes
Not Applicable
17%
394 votes
2.
2.
Lichtman says Biden leads Trump on seven of the 13 true-or-false criteria he looks at to assess the ultimate winner of the race to the White House, which includes factors such as the economy, foreign policy, scandals, social unrest and even the charisma of the candidate and the health of the economy. To be sure, the model is not scientific but Lichtman's results deserve attention if only for the novelty of seeing how his forecast plays out. Do you follow polls and expert predictions?
Follow polls
10%
234 votes
Follow expert predictions
4%
100 votes
Follow both
18%
435 votes
Neither
44%
1046 votes
N/A
23%
546 votes
3.
3.
Will you be voting in the November elections?
Yes
50%
1185 votes
No
11%
255 votes
Undecided
6%
152 votes
Not Applicable
33%
769 votes
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